I took the Panthers -6.5 because I don’t believe in the Bucs. Nothing about Tampa Bay excites me and their performance in week one didn’t change my opinion on them at all. The Panthers went toe-to-toe with the Rams all game and had their chances. I’m not a trend bettor, but divisional opponents going on the road on Thursdays has historically been very tough. Favorites of 3 points or more are 20-12 ATS since 2015, and favorites that are 7 points or more are 9-1 since 2015. That’s a startling number. It’s pretty clear the short week mixed with divisional familiarity is critical here. I think that angle comes into play, but it’s not the reason I bet. In fact, I had already bet this game before I came across those stats.