The face-off between the Seattle Storm and the Atlanta Dream is a game of high stakes, particularly for the Dream.
With the Storm already out of playoff contention, the Dream are in the hot seat, battling it out for one of the last remaining spots in the playoffs.
This game is a must-win for Atlanta, no question about it.
Storm vs. Dream Lineups & Injuries
Projected Storm Lineup: Dulcy Fankam Mendjiadeu, Ezi Magbegor, Jewell Loyd, Jordan Horston, Sami Whitcomb
Storm Injuries: Gabby Williams (Out)
Projected Dream Lineup: Allisha Gray, Cheyenne Parker, Danielle Robinson, Naz Hillmon, Rhyne Howard
Dream Injuries: Nia Coffey (Out)
Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream Prediction
Now, the oddsmakers have tagged Atlanta as the hefty favorites at home, but I can’t bring myself to trust them to cover the spread.
Let’s talk numbers: my model projects a final score of Seattle Storm 79.4 to Atlanta Dream 85. That’s a total of 164.4.
With Atlanta favored at -5.6 according to my model, BetOnline’s odds of Atlanta at -9 seem a bit steep.
My leanings are towards Atlanta at -9, even though my own calculations suggest a smaller margin of -5.6.
Where I’m putting my money is on the Over 163.
The total points predicted by my model surpass this number, and that’s where I see the opportunity.